Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 17:00
UPDF
PWR 35
NEC
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
UPDF
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
NEC Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSN/A
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 56% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/4 draws (75%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 66% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NEC Form
DWDWD
STABLE
UPDF Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS42%
Under 2.542%
NEC Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
UPDF Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.59%
BTTS Yes22%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
NECvs
0.56
UPDFDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings69%
Market30%
League Standings
#7
NEC+8
Gap#15
UPDF
WR 44% 27 pts
WR 20% 12 pts
NEC
14.0%
| Feb 17 | NEC v Vipers | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | NEC v KCCA | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | NEC v Express | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | NEC v Buhimba… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | NEC v Kitara | 3-3 |
| Jan 07 | NEC v Lugazi | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | NEC v UPDF | 0-0 |
| Dec 12 | NEC v KCCA | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | NEC v Vipers | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | NEC v Maroons | 1-1 |
UPDF
2.0%
| Feb 18 | UPDF v Lugazi | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | UPDF v Buhimba… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | UPDF v BUL | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | UPDF v KCCA | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | UPDF v Entebbe… | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | UPDF v Kitara | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | UPDF v NEC | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | UPDF v Buhimba… | 2-2 |
| Dec 05 | UPDF v Lugazi | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | UPDF v Vipers | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 16, 2025 | UPDF | 0-0 | NEC |
| Apr 04, 2025 | UPDF | 0-0 | NEC |
| Sep 24, 2024 | NEC | 1-0 | UPDF |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UPDF | 2-2 | NEC |
Key Factors
UPDF struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.