Copa do Brasil · Mar 04, 2026 22:00

Nova Iguaçu
PWR 0
VS

Lagarto
PWR 0
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
Nova Iguaçu Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-3 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 1-3 (5%) 3-3 (5%) 1-2 (4%) 3-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G3.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nova Iguaçu Form DDDLD
STABLE
Lagarto Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS88%
Under 2.523%
Nova Iguaçu Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Lagarto Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 73% 27% OVER
2.5 47% 53% -
3.5 26% 74% UNDER
4.5 12% 88% UNDER
5.5 5% 95% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.526%
BTTS Yes50%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Nova Iguaçu
vs
3.44
Lagarto
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Nova Iguaçu 8.0%
Mar 01 Nova Ig… v Maricá 2-2
Feb 26 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-1
Feb 23 Nova Ig… v Sampaio… 1-1
Feb 16 Nova Ig… v Maricá 0-1
Feb 11 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-1
Feb 08 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 1-0
Jan 30 Nova Ig… v Bangu 1-2
Jan 26 Nova Ig… v Volta R… 2-2
Jan 23 Nova Ig… v Flumine… 2-3
Jan 18 Nova Ig… v Vasco D… 0-0
Lagarto 10.0%
Feb 22 Lagarto v América… 0-3
Feb 14 Lagarto v Sergipe 1-0
Feb 11 Lagarto v Desport… 1-3
Feb 07 Lagarto v Atlétic… 2-1
Feb 04 Lagarto v América… 0-0
Jan 31 Lagarto v AO Itab… 0-0
Jan 25 Lagarto v Dorense 1-5
Jan 21 Lagarto v Guaraní… 2-0
Jan 18 Lagarto v Confian… 2-2
Jan 10 Lagarto v Falcon 2-2
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.