Victoria NPL · Mar 07, 2026 08:00

Melbourne City
PWR 0
VS

Bentleigh Greens
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
Melbourne City Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne City Form DWLLL
STABLE
Bentleigh Gree… Form LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS30%
Under 2.575%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Bentleigh G… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 90% 10% OVER
1.5 68% 32% OVER
2.5 42% 59% -
3.5 21% 79% UNDER
4.5 9% 91% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.521%
BTTS Yes40%
Home Clean Sheet51%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Melbourne City
vs
0.58
Bentleigh Gree…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Melbourne City 6.0%
Mar 03 Melbour… v Buriram… 1-1
Feb 28 Melbour… v Altona … 1-2
Feb 28 Melbour… v Auckland 3-0
Feb 21 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-3
Feb 19 Melbour… v Hume Ci… 1-2
Feb 18 Melbour… v Gangwon… 0-0
Feb 14 Melbour… v Avondale 0-2
Feb 11 Melbour… v Ulsan H… 1-2
Feb 07 Melbour… v Western… 1-1
Jan 30 Melbour… v Bray Wa… 3-0
Bentleigh Gree… 6.0%
Feb 28 Bentlei… v Hume Ci… 1-0
Feb 20 Bentlei… v Avondale 2-0
Feb 14 Bentlei… v Sunshin… 0-0
Aug 19 Bentlei… v Avondale 2-1
Aug 12 Bentlei… v Altona … 1-0
Jul 29 Bentlei… v Melbour… 2-2
Jul 22 Bentlei… v Hume Ci… 0-2
May 12 Bentlei… v Avondale 0-4
Apr 22 Bentlei… v Hume Ci… 2-3
Jun 24 Bentlei… v Hume Ci… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 29, 2023 Bentleigh Gre… 2-2 Melbourne City
Key Factors
Melbourne City struggling (3L in last 5)
Bentleigh Greens struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.