Victoria NPL · Feb 28, 2026 07:15

Altona Magic
PWR 35

Melbourne City
PWR 0

Altona Magic
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Melbourne City
PWR 0
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Altona Magic Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Altona Magic Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Melbourne City Form
LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS49%
Under 2.547%
Altona Magic Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.532%
BTTS Yes56%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Altona Magicvs
0.84
Melbourne CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Altona Magic
12.0%
| Feb 20 | Altona … v Oakleig… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Altona … v Hume Ci… | 1-3 |
| Aug 23 | Altona … v Melbour… | 1-5 |
| Aug 16 | Altona … v Melbour… | 4-0 |
| Aug 01 | Altona … v Oakleig… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | Altona … v Avondale | 0-1 |
| Jul 19 | Altona … v Melbour… | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Altona … v Oakleig… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Altona … v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Altona … v Melbour… | 4-0 |
Melbourne City
10.0%
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 19 | Melbour… v Hume Ci… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Melbour… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Avondale | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Melbour… v Ulsan H… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Melbour… v Western… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Melbour… v Bray Wa… | 3-0 |
| Jan 30 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Melbour… v Bohemia… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 6-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Altona Magic | 4-0 | Melbourne City |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Melbourne City | 2-0 | Altona Magic |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Altona Magic | 0-0 | Melbourne City |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Melbourne City | 4-0 | Altona Magic |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Altona Magic | 1-4 | Melbourne City |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Altona Magic | 1-4 | Melbourne City |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Melbourne City | 5-1 | Altona Magic |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Melbourne City | 2-0 | Altona Magic |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Altona Magic | 0-1 | Melbourne City |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Melbourne City | 1-2 | Altona Magic |
Key Factors
Altona Magic in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.