First Division · Mar 06, 2026 19:45

Treaty United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Kerry FC
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Treaty United Form LLLWL
DOWN
Kerry FC Form DWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS30%
Under 2.565%
Treaty Unit… Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Kerry FC Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 9% OVER
1.5 70% 30% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 23% 77% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet23%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Treaty United
vs
0.46
Kerry FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Treaty Unit…
-1
Gap
#9
Kerry FC
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Treaty United 4.0%
Feb 27 Treaty … v UCD 2-0
Feb 20 Treaty … v Bray Wa… 0-1
Feb 13 Treaty … v Cork Ci… 1-0
Jan 13 Treaty … v Kerry FC 2-4
Jan 09 Treaty … v Galway … 2-0
Nov 02 Treaty … v Bray Wa… 1-0
Oct 28 Treaty … v Cobh Ra… 1-1
Oct 24 Treaty … v Cobh Ra… 1-0
Oct 17 Treaty … v Wexford 0-2
Oct 10 Treaty … v Bray Wa… 2-1
Kerry FC 6.0%
Feb 27 Kerry FC v Longfor… 1-1
Feb 27 Kerry FC v Wexford 4-2
Feb 20 Kerry FC v Athlone… 0-1
Feb 20 Kerry FC v Bohemia… 0-1
Feb 13 Kerry FC v UCD 2-1
Feb 13 Kerry FC v Dundalk 2-2
Feb 06 Kerry FC v Sligo R… 2-1
Feb 04 Kerry FC v Cork Ci… 4-1
Jan 31 Kerry FC v Shamroc… 0-1
Jan 23 Kerry FC v Polessya 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Jan 13, 2026 Kerry FC 2-4 Treaty United
Sep 26, 2025 Kerry FC 1-1 Treaty United
Aug 04, 2025 Treaty United 1-1 Kerry FC
Jul 18, 2025 Treaty United 1-5 Kerry FC
May 09, 2025 Kerry FC 1-0 Treaty United
Apr 04, 2025 Treaty United 3-0 Kerry FC
Sep 06, 2024 Treaty United 1-1 Kerry FC
Key Factors
Treaty United struggling (4L in last 5)
Kerry FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.