Svenska Cupen · Mar 02, 2026 18:00
Ă–rebro SK
PWR 51
Hammarby FF
PWR 58
Ă–rebro SK
PWR 51
3 - 5
FT
Hammarby FF
PWR 58
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-5
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense44
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack63
Defense51
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.4
Ă–rebro SK Form
DWDWW
STABLE
Hammarby FF Form
WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS18%
Under 2.586%
Ă–rebro SK Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Hammarby FF Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet28%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Ă–rebro SKvs
0.35
Hammarby FFDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Ă–rebro SK-3
Gap#12
Hammarby FF
WR 60% 9 pts
WR 60% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ă–rebro SK | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Hammarby FF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
Ă–rebro SK
16.0%
| Feb 21 | Örebro … v Östers … | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Örebro … v Åtvidab… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Örebro … v Sandvik… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Örebro … v IF Karl… | 3-0 |
| Nov 23 | Örebro … v Hammarb… | 1-0 |
| Nov 20 | Örebro … v Hammarb… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Örebro … v Trelleb… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Örebro … v Utsikten | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Örebro … v Landskr… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Örebro … v Helsing… | 3-2 |
Hammarby FF
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Hammarb… v IFK Var… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Hammarb… v Mjällby… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Hammarb… v IK Brage | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Hammarb… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hammarb… v IFK Nor… | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | Hammarb… v HJK Hel… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Hammarb… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Hammarb… v Oskarsh… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Hammarb… v Seattle… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Hammarb… v Metalis… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 07, 2021 | Hammarby FF | 3-2 | Ă–rebro SK |
| Jul 18, 2021 | Ă–rebro SK | 0-2 | Hammarby FF |
| Dec 06, 2020 | Ă–rebro SK | 2-1 | Hammarby FF |
| Jul 27, 2020 | Hammarby FF | 3-0 | Ă–rebro SK |
Key Factors
Ă–rebro SK in strong form (3W in last 5)
Hammarby FF struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.