Back Stats
Premier League · Mar 08, 2026 11:00

Zorya Luhansk
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
SK Poltava
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zorya Luhansk Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5 62%
62%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zorya Luhansk LDWDL
STABLE
SK Poltava LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 44% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Zorya Luhansk
vs
0.60
SK Poltava
Goal Probability
Zorya Luhan…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
SK Poltava
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 93% 7% OVER
2.5 80% 20% OVER
3.5 62% 38% -
4.5 43% 57% -
5.5 26% 74% UNDER
6.5 14% 86% UNDER
League Position
#8
Zorya Luhan…
+8
Gap
#16
SK Poltava
WR 33% 24 pts WR 11% 9 pts
Zorya Luhansk 8.0%
Mar 01 Zorya L… v Hirnyk 3-1
Feb 23 Zorya L… v Kudrivka 2-2
Jan 29 Zorya L… v Rapid W… 1-2
Jan 25 Zorya L… v Lokomot… 3-3
Dec 13 Zorya L… v LNZ Che… 2-0
Dec 05 Zorya L… v Karpaty 1-0
Nov 30 Zorya L… v Polessya 2-0
Nov 24 Zorya L… v Oleksan… 2-2
Nov 08 Zorya L… v Metalis… 1-3
Nov 02 Zorya L… v Rukh Vy… 1-0
SK Poltava 4.0%
Mar 02 SK Polt… v Kudrivka 0-2
Feb 20 SK Polt… v Veres R… 3-2
Dec 14 SK Polt… v Rukh Vy… 1-2
Dec 08 SK Polt… v Epitsen… 0-3
Dec 01 SK Polt… v Dynamo … 1-2
Nov 29 SK Polt… v Chornom… 3-0
Nov 22 SK Polt… v UCSA 1-1
Nov 21 SK Polt… v LNZ Che… 0-2
Nov 16 SK Polt… v Yarud M… 2-0
Nov 09 SK Polt… v Shakhta… 7-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 29, 2025 SK Poltava 1-4 Zorya Luhansk
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
69%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SK Poltava struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.