Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 15:00
Ethiopian Medhin
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Hadiya Hosaena
PWR 35
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ethiopian Medhin Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (54%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (5%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
2%
Under 2.5 98%
98%
BTTS No
No 7%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ethiopian Medh… DWLDD
STABLE
Hadiya Hosaena DWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 76% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33
Ethiopian Medh…
vs
0.28
Hadiya Hosaena
Goal Probability
Ethiopian M…
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Hadiya Hosa…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (40%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (2%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 60% 40% -
1.5 24% 77% UNDER
2.5 7% 93% UNDER
3.5 1% 99% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Ethiopian M…
-5
Gap
#9
Hadiya Hosa…
WR 18% 24 pts WR 40% 28 pts
Ethiopian Medh… 10.0%
Mar 03 Ethiopi… v Sheger … 1-1
Feb 25 Ethiopi… v Kedus G… 3-0
Feb 21 Ethiopi… v Dire Da… 0-1
Feb 05 Ethiopi… v Fasil K… 0-0
Jan 30 Ethiopi… v Suhul S… 0-0
Jan 26 Ethiopi… v Mekelak… 0-1
Jan 22 Ethiopi… v Dire Da… 0-0
Jan 15 Ethiopi… v Welwalo… 0-0
Jan 10 Ethiopi… v Welayta… 1-2
Jan 05 Ethiopi… v Mekelle… 0-1
Hadiya Hosaena 12.0%
Mar 05 Hadiya … v Dire Da… 1-1
Feb 27 Hadiya … v Mebrat … 0-1
Feb 21 Hadiya … v Bahardar 0-1
Feb 09 Hadiya … v Fasil K… 0-1
Feb 04 Hadiya … v Mekelak… 1-1
Jan 31 Hadiya … v Dire Da… 2-0
Jan 25 Hadiya … v Welwalo… 1-2
Jan 16 Hadiya … v Suhul S… 3-1
Jan 10 Hadiya … v Ethiopi… 0-0
Jan 04 Hadiya … v Sidama … 0-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Nov 03, 2025 Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Ethiopian Med…
Jun 14, 2025 Ethiopian Med… 3-2 Hadiya Hosaena
Jan 31, 2025 Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Ethiopian Med…
Jun 28, 2024 Ethiopian Med… 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena
Dec 09, 2023 Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Ethiopian Med…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.