Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 15:00
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Dire Dawa Kenema Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 81%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dire Dawa Kene…
WDLDD
STABLE
Ethiopia Nigd …
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 91% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Dire Dawa Kene…vs
2.31
Ethiopia Nigd …Goal Probability
Dire Dawa K…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Ethiopia Ni…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Dire Dawa K…+5
Gap#15
Ethiopia Ni…
WR 27% 28 pts
WR 9% 24 pts
Dire Dawa Kene…
10.0%
| Mar 05 | Dire Da… v Mekelle… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Dire Da… v Hadiya … | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Welayta… | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Sheger … | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dire Da… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Dire Da… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Dire Da… v Hadiya … | 2-0 |
| Jan 30 | Dire Da… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
Ethiopia Nigd …
6.0%
| Mar 03 | Ethiopi… v Mekelak… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ethiopi… v Bahardar | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Ethiopi… v Negelle… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Ethiopi… v Mebrat … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Hadiya … | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Ethiopi… v Sheger … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 21, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 2-3 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 2-0 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| May 30, 2025 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 1-2 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| May 25, 2025 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 0-2 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-2 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-0 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 1-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 4-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 2-3 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-0 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ethiopia Nigd Bank struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.