Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 12:00
Suhul Shire
PWR 35
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
Suhul Shire
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Suhul Shire to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (25%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Suhul Shire
LWLDD
STABLE
Fasil Ketema
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 86% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Suhul Shirevs
0.37
Fasil KetemaGoal Probability
Suhul Shire
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Fasil Ketema
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Suhul Shire-7
Gap#5
Fasil Ketema
WR 36% 26 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
Suhul Shire
8.0%
| Mar 03 | Suhul S… v Welwalo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Suhul S… v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Suhul S… v Mekelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Suhul S… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Suhul S… v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Suhul S… v Kedus G… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Suhul S… v Arba Mi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Suhul S… v Hadiya … | 3-1 |
| Jan 08 | Suhul S… v Negelle… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Suhul S… v Ethiopi… | 1-3 |
Fasil Ketema
2.0%
| Mar 04 | Fasil K… v Sidama … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Fasil K… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Fasil K… v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fasil K… v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Fasil K… v Arba Mi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Fasil K… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 03 | Fasil K… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Fasil Ketema | 1-0 | Suhul Shire |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fasil Ketema struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.