Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 12:00
Bahardar
PWR 35
Bahardar
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Negelle Arsi
PWR 35
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bahardar Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bahardar
LLWDD
DOWN
Negelle Arsi
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 54% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
Bahardarvs
0.70
Negelle ArsiGoal Probability
Bahardar
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Negelle Arsi
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (42%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 1.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Bahardar-8
Gap#3
Negelle Arsi
WR 27% 27 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
Bahardar
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Bahardar v Ethiopi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bahardar v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bahardar v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Bahardar v Ethiopi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Bahardar v Sidama … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Bahardar v Awassa … | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bahardar v Welayta… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Bahardar v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Bahardar v Mekelak… | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Bahardar v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
Negelle Arsi
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Negelle… v Kedus G… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Negelle… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Negelle… v Mekelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Negelle… v Sidama … | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Negelle… v Awassa … | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Negelle… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Negelle… v Suhul S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Negelle… v Mekelak… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Negelle Arsi | 0-0 | Bahardar |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.