Premier League · Mar 05, 2026 13:00
Mekelle Kenema
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mekelle Kenema Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.82x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5 85%
85%
BTTS No
No 23%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mekelle Kenema DWLDD
STABLE
Dire Dawa Kene… LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 54% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 109% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (38.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Mekelle Kenema
vs
0.53
Dire Dawa Kene…
Goal Probability
Mekelle Ken…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Dire Dawa K…
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 70% 30% OVER
1.5 34% 66% UNDER
2.5 12% 88% UNDER
3.5 4% 97% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#19
Mekelle Ken…
-9
Gap
#10
Dire Dawa K…
WR 18% 23 pts WR 27% 28 pts
Mekelle Kenema 10.0%
Feb 26 Mekelle… v Mekelak… 0-0
Feb 23 Mekelle… v Suhul S… 1-0
Feb 05 Mekelle… v Negelle… 1-0
Feb 01 Mekelle… v Ethiopi… 1-1
Jan 25 Mekelle… v Dire Da… 0-0
Jan 20 Mekelle… v Mebrat … 2-1
Jan 15 Mekelle… v Bahardar 0-0
Jan 09 Mekelle… v Sheger … 0-0
Jan 05 Mekelle… v Ethiopi… 0-1
Dec 29 Mekelle… v Kedus G… 1-1
Dire Dawa Kene… 10.0%
Feb 26 Dire Da… v Welayta… 0-2
Feb 26 Dire Da… v Sheger … 3-3
Feb 22 Dire Da… v Awassa … 1-1
Feb 21 Dire Da… v Ethiopi… 0-1
Feb 06 Dire Da… v Arba Mi… 1-1
Feb 04 Dire Da… v Awassa … 0-2
Jan 31 Dire Da… v Hadiya … 2-0
Jan 30 Dire Da… v Welayta… 1-1
Jan 27 Dire Da… v Sheger … 0-0
Jan 25 Dire Da… v Mekelle… 0-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Jan 25, 2026 Dire Dawa Ken… 0-0 Mekelle Kenema
Oct 30, 2025 Dire Dawa Ken… 2-1 Mekelle Kenema
May 13, 2025 Dire Dawa Ken… 1-1 Mekelle Kenema
May 05, 2025 Dire Dawa Ken… 0-0 Mekelle Kenema
Jan 24, 2025 Mekelle Kenema 2-0 Dire Dawa Ken…
Oct 24, 2024 Mekelle Kenema 3-2 Dire Dawa Ken…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
32%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.