Premier League · Mar 05, 2026 13:00
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
Hadiya Hosaena
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hadiya Hosaena Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (8%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.53x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hadiya Hosaena
WLWDL
STABLE
Dire Dawa Kene…
LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 88% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (38.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Hadiya Hosaenavs
1.23
Dire Dawa Kene…Goal Probability
Hadiya Hosa…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Dire Dawa K…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Hadiya Hosa…+1
Gap#10
Dire Dawa K…
WR 25% 28 pts
WR 27% 28 pts
Hadiya Hosaena
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Hadiya … v Mebrat … | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Hadiya … v Bahardar | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Hadiya … v Fasil K… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Hadiya … v Mekelak… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Hadiya … v Dire Da… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Hadiya … v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Hadiya … v Suhul S… | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | Hadiya … v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Hadiya … v Sidama … | 0-2 |
| Dec 30 | Hadiya … v Awassa … | 0-1 |
Dire Dawa Kene…
10.0%
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Welayta… | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Sheger … | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dire Da… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Dire Da… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Dire Da… v Hadiya … | 2-0 |
| Jan 30 | Dire Da… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Dire Da… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Dire Da… v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 2-0 | Hadiya Hosaena |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-0 | Hadiya Hosaena |
| May 29, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-0 | Hadiya Hosaena |
| Apr 08, 2025 | Hadiya Hosaena | 1-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Dec 06, 2024 | Hadiya Hosaena | 2-0 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-1 | Hadiya Hosaena |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-3 | Hadiya Hosaena |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Hadiya Hosaena | 2-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Hadiya Hosaena | 0-0 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Jan 03, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-1 | Hadiya Hosaena |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
51%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.