Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 15:00
Mebrat Hayl
PWR 35
Arba Minch Kenema
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Mebrat Hayl
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Mebrat Hayl Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 91% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arba Minch Ken… Form
WDDWL
STABLE
Mebrat Hayl Form
LDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS18%
Under 2.584%
Arba Minch … Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Mebrat Hayl Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet53%
Away Clean Sheet56%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (30%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (17%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Arba Minch Ken…vs
0.31
Mebrat HaylDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Arba Minch …-13
Gap#7
Mebrat Hayl
WR 0% 16 pts
WR 18% 31 pts
Arba Minch Ken…
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Arba Mi… v Bahardar | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Arba Mi… v Negelle… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Arba Mi… v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Arba Mi… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arba Mi… v Fasil K… | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | Arba Mi… v Suhul S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Arba Mi… v Mekelak… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Arba Mi… v Sidama … | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Arba Mi… v Awassa … | 0-0 |
| Dec 29 | Arba Mi… v Welayta… | 0-0 |
Mebrat Hayl
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Mebrat … v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mebrat … v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mebrat … v Sidama … | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Mebrat … v Awassa … | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Mebrat … v Welayta… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Mebrat … v Mekelle… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Mebrat … v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Mebrat … v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Mebrat … v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Dec 29 | Mebrat … v Fasil K… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 28, 2025 | Mebrat Hayl | 3-1 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Arba Minch Ke… | 2-0 | Mebrat Hayl |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Mebrat Hayl | 2-1 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| May 27, 2023 | Arba Minch Ke… | 4-0 | Mebrat Hayl |
| Dec 07, 2022 | Mebrat Hayl | 2-2 | Arba Minch Ke… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.