Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 12:00
Ethiopia Bunna SC
PWR 35
Bahardar
PWR 35
Ethiopia Bunna SC
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Bahardar
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ethiopia Bunna SC Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (23%)0-0 (19%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.55x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.59x
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ethiopia Bunna…
WWDLL
STABLE
Bahardar
LWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (36.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Ethiopia Bunna…vs
1.23
BahardarGoal Probability
Ethiopia Bu…
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Bahardar
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Ethiopia Bu…+3
Gap#11
Bahardar
WR 36% 29 pts
WR 18% 27 pts
Ethiopia Bunna…
10.0%
| Feb 26 | Ethiopi… v Negelle… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Ethiopi… v Welayta… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Ethiopi… v Mekelle… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Ethiopi… v Sidama … | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Ethiopi… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 1-3 |
| Dec 31 | Ethiopi… v Mekelak… | 0-1 |
| Dec 25 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 1-2 |
Bahardar
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Bahardar v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bahardar v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Bahardar v Ethiopi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Bahardar v Sidama … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Bahardar v Awassa … | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bahardar v Welayta… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Bahardar v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Bahardar v Mekelak… | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Bahardar v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Dec 29 | Bahardar v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bahardar | 0-0 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Bahardar | 2-0 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Ethiopia Bunn… | 3-1 | Bahardar |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Bahardar | 3-1 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ethiopia Bunn… | 2-2 | Bahardar |
| May 09, 2023 | Bahardar | 3-1 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Ethiopia Bunn… | 1-3 | Bahardar |
| Jul 02, 2022 | Ethiopia Bunn… | 1-1 | Bahardar |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Bahardar | 1-1 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
| May 13, 2021 | Bahardar | 2-2 | Ethiopia Bunn… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
39%
Standings
60%
Market
39%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.