Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 12:00
Sidama Bunna
PWR 35
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
Sidama Bunna
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Fasil Ketema
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sidama Bunna Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.77x
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sidama Bunna
WDDDL
STABLE
Fasil Ketema
LLLDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 96% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sidama Bunnavs
0.20
Fasil KetemaGoal Probability
Sidama Bunna
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Fasil Ketema
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Sidama Bunna+4
Gap#5
Fasil Ketema
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
Sidama Bunna
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Sidama … v Awassa … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sidama … v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Sidama … v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Sidama … v Bahardar | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Sidama … v Negelle… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Sidama … v Ethiopi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sidama … v Dire Da… | 2-2 |
| Jan 08 | Sidama … v Arba Mi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Sidama … v Hadiya … | 0-2 |
| Dec 30 | Sidama … v Sheger … | 2-0 |
Fasil Ketema
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Fasil K… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Fasil K… v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Fasil K… v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Fasil K… v Arba Mi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Fasil K… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Fasil K… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 03 | Fasil K… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Dec 29 | Fasil K… v Mebrat … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Fasil Ketema | 1-0 | Sidama Bunna |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Fasil Ketema | 1-1 | Sidama Bunna |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sidama Bunna | 0-1 | Fasil Ketema |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Fasil Ketema | 2-2 | Sidama Bunna |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Sidama Bunna | 0-1 | Fasil Ketema |
| May 22, 2023 | Fasil Ketema | 0-1 | Sidama Bunna |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Sidama Bunna | 2-4 | Fasil Ketema |
| May 09, 2022 | Sidama Bunna | 0-1 | Fasil Ketema |
| Dec 09, 2021 | Fasil Ketema | 4-0 | Sidama Bunna |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Sidama Bunna | 1-2 | Fasil Ketema |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
65%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fasil Ketema struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.