Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 15:00

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Suhul Shire
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Welwalo Adigra… Form WDDLW
STABLE
Suhul Shire Form WLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS37%
Under 2.571%
Welwalo Adi… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Suhul Shire Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 63% 37% -
1.5 26% 74% UNDER
2.5 8% 92% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes14%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet52%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Welwalo Adigra…
vs
0.88
Suhul Shire
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings38%
Market30%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Welwalo Adi…
-6
Gap
#11
Suhul Shire
WR 18% 24 pts WR 18% 26 pts
Welwalo Adigra… 12.0%
Feb 27 Welwalo… v Fasil K… 1-2
Feb 22 Welwalo… v Sidama … 0-0
Feb 05 Welwalo… v Kedus G… 1-1
Feb 01 Welwalo… v Arba Mi… 1-2
Jan 25 Welwalo… v Hadiya … 1-2
Jan 21 Welwalo… v Sheger … 1-1
Jan 15 Welwalo… v Ethiopi… 0-0
Jan 08 Welwalo… v Dire Da… 1-1
Jan 03 Welwalo… v Mebrat … 0-0
Dec 29 Welwalo… v Bahardar 0-0
Suhul Shire 10.0%
Feb 27 Suhul S… v Ethiopi… 2-1
Feb 23 Suhul S… v Mekelle… 1-0
Feb 04 Suhul S… v Sheger … 0-0
Jan 30 Suhul S… v Ethiopi… 0-0
Jan 26 Suhul S… v Kedus G… 0-0
Jan 21 Suhul S… v Arba Mi… 1-0
Jan 16 Suhul S… v Hadiya … 3-1
Jan 08 Suhul S… v Negelle… 0-1
Jan 04 Suhul S… v Ethiopi… 1-3
Dec 30 Suhul S… v Dire Da… 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 28, 2025 Suhul Shire 0-0 Welwalo Adigr…
Apr 13, 2025 Welwalo Adigr… 1-1 Suhul Shire
Feb 07, 2025 Suhul Shire 1-0 Welwalo Adigr…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.