Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 15:00
Sheger Ketema
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Ethiopian Medhin
PWR 35
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Sheger Ketema Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (61%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (12%)
1-1 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
0-2 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 73% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 109% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sheger Ketema Form
DDDWD
STABLE
Ethiopian Medh… Form
WLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.51%
BTTS5%
Under 2.599%
Sheger Kete… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Ethiopian M… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 1.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total0.7
Over 3.51%
BTTS Yes8%
Home Clean Sheet76%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (51%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
0-2 (2%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Sheger Ketemavs
0.20
Ethiopian Medh…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market37%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Sheger Kete…-2
Gap#14
Ethiopian M…
WR 9% 24 pts
WR 27% 24 pts
Sheger Ketema
12.0%
| Feb 26 | Sheger … v Dire Da… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Sheger … v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Sheger … v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Sheger … v Mekelak… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Sheger … v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Sheger … v Welwalo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Sheger … v Fasil K… | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Sheger … v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Sheger … v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Sheger … v Sidama … | 2-0 |
Ethiopian Medh…
8.0%
| Feb 25 | Ethiopi… v Kedus G… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Ethiopi… v Mekelak… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Ethiopi… v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Welayta… | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Ethiopi… v Mekelle… | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.