Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 12:00
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ethiopia Nigd … Form
LWDLW
STABLE
Mekelakeya Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Ethiopia Ni… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Mekelakeya Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.519%
BTTS Yes46%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Ethiopia Nigd …vs
2.16
MekelakeyaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings30%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Ethiopia Ni…-10
Gap#5
Mekelakeya
WR 36% 24 pts
WR 46% 32 pts
Ethiopia Nigd …
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Ethiopi… v Suhul S… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Ethiopi… v Fasil K… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ethiopi… v Bahardar | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Ethiopi… v Negelle… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Ethiopi… v Dire Da… | 2-3 |
| Jan 16 | Ethiopi… v Mebrat … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Hadiya … | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Ethiopi… v Sheger … | 1-1 |
| Dec 31 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
Mekelakeya
8.0%
| Feb 26 | Mekelak… v Mekelle… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mekelak… v Welayta… | 4-3 |
| Feb 04 | Mekelak… v Hadiya … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mekelak… v Sheger … | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Mekelak… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Mekelak… v Kedus G… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mekelak… v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Mekelak… v Bahardar | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Mekelak… v Negelle… | 2-0 |
| Dec 31 | Mekelak… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 28, 2025 | Mekelakeya | 3-1 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| May 02, 2025 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 0-0 | Mekelakeya |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Mekelakeya | 1-0 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Ethiopia Nigd… | 0-2 | Mekelakeya |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Mekelakeya | 1-1 | Ethiopia Nigd… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.