Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 12:00
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Negelle Arsi
PWR 35
PWR 35
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
Negelle Arsi Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 77% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Kedus Giorgis Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Negelle Arsi Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS41%
Under 2.566%
Kedus Giorg… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Negelle Arsi Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%)
0-1 (23%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
0-2 (7%)
2-0 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Kedus Giorgisvs
0.93
Negelle ArsiDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings32%
Market36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Kedus Giorg…-9
Gap#3
Negelle Arsi
WR 30% 25 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
Kedus Giorgis
4.0%
| Feb 25 | Kedus G… v Ethiopi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 05 | Kedus G… v Welwalo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Kedus G… v Fasil K… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Kedus G… v Suhul S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Kedus G… v Mekelak… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Kedus G… v Dire Da… | 4-0 |
| Jan 09 | Kedus G… v Awassa … | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Kedus G… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Kedus G… v Mekelle… | 1-1 |
| Dec 25 | Kedus G… v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
Negelle Arsi
14.0%
| Feb 26 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Negelle… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Negelle… v Mekelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Negelle… v Sidama … | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Negelle… v Awassa … | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Negelle… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Negelle… v Suhul S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Negelle… v Mekelak… | 2-0 |
| Dec 30 | Negelle… v Dire Da… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Negelle Arsi | 0-1 | Kedus Giorgis |
Key Factors
Negelle Arsi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Kedus Giorgis struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.