Queensland Premier League · Feb 28, 2026 09:00

Capalaba
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Brisbane Roar
PWR 0
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Capalaba to win (92% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
92%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Capalaba Form LLWWL
DOWN
Brisbane Roar Form WLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS64%
Under 2.534%
Capalaba Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Brisbane Ro… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 86% 14% OVER
2.5 67% 33% OVER
3.5 46% 55% -
4.5 27% 73% UNDER
5.5 14% 86% UNDER
6.5 6% 94% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.545%
BTTS Yes67%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 0-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Capalaba
vs
2.38
Brisbane Roar
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Capalaba 8.0%
Feb 21 Capalaba v Caboolt… 1-3
Aug 24 Capalaba v Magic U… 1-6
Aug 16 Capalaba v Redland… 0-1
Aug 02 Capalaba v Holland… 2-3
Jul 04 Capalaba v Caboolt… 4-1
Jun 28 Capalaba v Caboolt… 1-2
May 31 Capalaba v Brisban… 4-1
Feb 22 Capalaba v Brisban… 2-3
Jul 21 Capalaba v Caboolt… 1-4
Jun 01 Capalaba v Brisban… 3-1
Brisbane Roar 8.0%
Feb 22 Brisban… v Brisban… 1-3
Feb 21 Brisban… v Sydney 1-0
Feb 21 Brisban… v North S… 1-1
Feb 14 Brisban… v Melbour… 1-1
Feb 07 Brisban… v Central… 1-2
Jan 31 Brisban… v Newcast… 4-1
Jan 24 Brisban… v Adelaid… 2-3
Jan 16 Brisban… v Perth G… 1-2
Jan 09 Brisban… v Auckland 0-2
Jan 06 Brisban… v Melbour… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
May 31, 2025 Brisbane Roar 4-1 Capalaba
Feb 22, 2025 Capalaba 2-3 Brisbane Roar
Jun 01, 2024 Brisbane Roar 3-1 Capalaba
Mar 03, 2024 Capalaba 1-4 Brisbane Roar
Aug 26, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1-2 Capalaba
May 19, 2023 Capalaba 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Jul 10, 2021 Capalaba 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Apr 21, 2021 Brisbane Roar 0-1 Capalaba
Oct 10, 2020 Brisbane Roar 2-0 Capalaba
Sep 02, 2020 Capalaba 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Key Factors
Capalaba struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.