Copa Verde · Feb 06, 2025 19:00

Brasiliense
PWR 0
0 - 0
FT

Capital Brasilia
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
Brasiliense Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Brasiliense Form WWWLL
UP
Capital Brasil… Form DWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS28%
Under 2.577%
Brasiliense Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Capital Bra… Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 64% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.0
Over 3.536%
BTTS Yes57%
Home Clean Sheet33%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Brasiliense
vs
0.53
Capital Brasil…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Brasiliense 12.0%
Feb 02 Brasili… v Uberlân… 0-1
Jan 25 Brasili… v Real FC 0-3
Jan 19 Brasili… v Samamba… 2-1
Mar 24 Brasili… v Capital… 3-2
Mar 21 Brasili… v Capital… 1-3
Mar 10 Brasili… v Samamba… 3-1
Mar 07 Brasili… v Uberlân… 0-0
Mar 03 Brasili… v Capital… 1-0
Feb 14 Brasili… v Real FC 1-0
Feb 07 Brasili… v Gama 2-0
Capital Brasil… 10.0%
Feb 01 Capital… v Sobradi… 1-1
Jan 29 Capital… v Real FC 2-0
Jan 26 Capital… v Samamba… 1-0
Jan 22 Capital… v Uberlân… 1-1
Apr 06 Capital… v Uberlân… 0-0
Mar 31 Capital… v Uberlân… 1-1
Mar 24 Capital… v Brasili… 3-2
Mar 21 Capital… v Brasili… 1-3
Mar 03 Capital… v Brasili… 1-0
Feb 14 Capital… v Samamba… 0-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Mar 24, 2024 Capital Brasi… 3-2 Brasiliense
Mar 21, 2024 Brasiliense 1-3 Capital Brasi…
Mar 03, 2024 Brasiliense 1-0 Capital Brasi…
Apr 02, 2023 Brasiliense 1-0 Capital Brasi…
Mar 26, 2023 Capital Brasi… 0-2 Brasiliense
Feb 08, 2023 Capital Brasi… 0-0 Brasiliense
Mar 27, 2022 Brasiliense 0-1 Capital Brasi…
Key Factors
Brasiliense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.