Predictions Match Details
Roraimense · Feb 28, 2026 21:00

Progresso
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Rio Negro RR
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
Progresso Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%) 0-2 (20%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Progresso Form LLLLL
DOWN
Rio Negro RR Form LLDWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS22%
Under 2.563%
Progresso Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Rio Negro RR Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 82% 18% OVER
2.5 60% 40% -
3.5 38% 62% -
4.5 21% 80% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes57%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Progresso
vs
1.92
Rio Negro RR
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Progresso
+1
Gap
#7
Rio Negro RR
WR 25% 3 pts WR 20% 3 pts
Progresso 0.0%
Feb 15 Progres… v GAS 0-3
Feb 03 Progres… v Monte R… 1-2
Jan 27 Progres… v São Rai… 5-0
Mar 26 Progres… v Baré 0-7
Mar 18 Progres… v Monte R… 0-2
Mar 11 Progres… v Atlétic… 0-0
Mar 07 Progres… v São Rai… 3-0
Mar 04 Progres… v Náutico… 5-0
Feb 26 Progres… v Rio Neg… 0-0
May 14 Progres… v Náutico… 0-7
Rio Negro RR 6.0%
Feb 21 Rio Neg… v Monte R… 3-0
Feb 16 Rio Neg… v Rio Neg… 0-2
Feb 11 Rio Neg… v São Rai… 2-2
Feb 04 Rio Neg… v Atlétic… 1-2
Feb 01 Rio Neg… v São Rai… 2-1
Jan 28 Rio Neg… v Náutico… 1-0
Jan 25 Rio Neg… v GAS 2-2
Mar 21 Rio Neg… v São Rai… 2-1
Mar 19 Rio Neg… v Náutico… 5-1
Mar 08 Rio Neg… v GAS 0-4
Head-to-Head (3)
Feb 26, 2025 Rio Negro RR 0-0 Progresso
Apr 24, 2024 Rio Negro RR 6-0 Progresso
May 13, 2023 Progresso 4-4 Rio Negro RR
Key Factors
Progresso struggling (5L in last 5)
Rio Negro RR struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.