Cearense - 1 · Feb 22, 2026 21:00

Ceará
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Floresta
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
Ceará Win
Prediction
3-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceará Form WDWWW
STABLE
Floresta Form LWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.58%
BTTS15%
Under 2.592%
Ceará Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Floresta Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 23% OVER
2.5 54% 46% -
3.5 32% 69% UNDER
4.5 16% 84% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.532%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet74%
Away Clean Sheet8%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 4-0 (10%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Ceará
vs
0.42
Floresta
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings52%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Ceará
+1
Gap
#2
Floresta
WR 50% 7 pts WR 50% 4 pts
Ceará 18.0%
Feb 15 Ceará v Floresta 0-3
Feb 08 Ceará v Fortale… 0-0
Feb 01 Ceará v Horizon… 4-0
Jan 25 Ceará v Ferrovi… 1-5
Jan 22 Ceará v Pague M… 1-4
Jan 17 Ceará v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 15 Ceará v Maguary… 1-0
Jan 10 Ceará v Floresta 0-1
Dec 04 Ceará v Flamengo 1-0
Nov 30 Ceará v Cruzeiro 1-1
Floresta 8.0%
Feb 15 Floresta v Ceará 0-3
Feb 07 Floresta v Horizon… 0-1
Feb 02 Floresta v Ferrovi… 0-0
Jan 26 Floresta v Fortale… 1-0
Jan 22 Floresta v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 17 Floresta v Maguary… 0-3
Jan 10 Floresta v Ceará 0-1
Jan 07 Floresta v Pague M… 0-2
Oct 11 Floresta v Caxias 1-1
Oct 05 Floresta v Londrina 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Feb 15, 2026 Floresta 0-3 Ceará
Jan 10, 2026 Floresta 0-1 Ceará
Jan 27, 2024 Ceará 1-0 Floresta
Key Factors
Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.