1st Division · Mar 01, 2026 12:30

Besa Kavajë
PWR 35

Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Burreli
PWR 35
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Besa Kavajë Form
DLDLL
STABLE
Burreli Form
DLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS29%
Under 2.541%
Besa Kavajë Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Burreli Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes20%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (29%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Besa Kavajëvs
0.36
BurreliDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Besa Kavajë-2
Gap#5
Burreli
WR 36% 25 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
Besa Kavajë
4.0%
| Feb 22 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Besa Ka… v Laci | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Besa Ka… v Luftëta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Besa Ka… v FK Kuke… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Besa Ka… v Skender… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Besa Ka… v Pograde… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Besa Ka… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Besa Ka… v Iliria … | 3-1 |
| Dec 14 | Besa Ka… v Lushnja | 0-1 |
| Dec 08 | Besa Ka… v Burreli | 2-0 |
Burreli
8.0%
| Feb 22 | Burreli v Korabi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burreli v Pograde… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Burreli v Iliria … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Burreli v Lushnja | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Burreli v Laci | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Burreli v Apoloni… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Burreli v Partiza… | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Burreli v Korabi … | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Burreli v Kastrio… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Burreli v Besa Ka… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 08, 2025 | Besa Kavajë | 2-0 | Burreli |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Burreli | 2-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Besa Kavajë | 0-0 | Burreli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Burreli | 1-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Besa Kavajë | 3-0 | Burreli |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Burreli | 0-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Besa Kavajë | 0-0 | Burreli |
| Oct 02, 2023 | Burreli | 4-1 | Besa Kavajë |
| May 18, 2023 | Besa Kavajë | 3-0 | Burreli |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Burreli | 1-0 | Besa Kavajë |
Key Factors
Besa Kavajë struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.