1st Division · Mar 01, 2026 12:30

Besa Kavajë
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Burreli
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Besa Kavajë Form DLDLL
STABLE
Burreli Form DLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS29%
Under 2.541%
Besa Kavajë Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Burreli Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 71% 29% OVER
1.5 35% 65% UNDER
2.5 13% 87% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes20%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (22%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Besa Kavajë
vs
0.36
Burreli
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Besa Kavajë
-2
Gap
#5
Burreli
WR 36% 25 pts WR 27% 30 pts
Besa Kavajë 4.0%
Feb 22 Besa Ka… v Iliria … 0-0
Feb 14 Besa Ka… v Laci 2-1
Feb 08 Besa Ka… v Luftëta… 1-1
Jan 31 Besa Ka… v FK Kuke… 1-0
Jan 24 Besa Ka… v Skender… 2-3
Jan 17 Besa Ka… v Pograde… 0-0
Jan 10 Besa Ka… v Dinamo … 3-0
Dec 21 Besa Ka… v Iliria … 3-1
Dec 14 Besa Ka… v Lushnja 0-1
Dec 08 Besa Ka… v Burreli 2-0
Burreli 8.0%
Feb 22 Burreli v Korabi … 0-0
Feb 15 Burreli v Pograde… 2-0
Feb 08 Burreli v Iliria … 1-1
Feb 01 Burreli v Lushnja 0-1
Jan 24 Burreli v Laci 1-2
Jan 17 Burreli v Apoloni… 2-0
Jan 10 Burreli v Partiza… 3-0
Dec 23 Burreli v Korabi … 0-1
Dec 13 Burreli v Kastrio… 0-0
Dec 08 Burreli v Besa Ka… 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 08, 2025 Besa Kavajë 2-0 Burreli
Sep 19, 2025 Burreli 2-1 Besa Kavajë
Mar 26, 2025 Besa Kavajë 0-0 Burreli
Jan 11, 2025 Burreli 1-1 Besa Kavajë
Oct 05, 2024 Besa Kavajë 3-0 Burreli
Apr 06, 2024 Burreli 0-1 Besa Kavajë
Jan 21, 2024 Besa Kavajë 0-0 Burreli
Oct 02, 2023 Burreli 4-1 Besa Kavajë
May 18, 2023 Besa Kavajë 3-0 Burreli
Jan 28, 2023 Burreli 1-0 Besa Kavajë
Key Factors
Besa Kavajë struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.