A Lyga · Mar 10, 2026 18:00

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 35
5-0
predicted

Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win
Prediction
5-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FK Zalgiris Vi… Form WLWWL
STABLE
Sūduva Marijam… Form DDWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS11%
Under 2.589%
FK Zalgiris… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Sūduva Mari… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 18% OVER
2.5 61% 39% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 21% 79% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
FK Zalgiris Vi…
vs
0.20
Sūduva Marijam…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
FK Zalgiris…
+3
Gap
#7
Sūduva Mari…
WR 50% 3 pts WR 0% 2 pts
FK Zalgiris Vi… 12.0%
Feb 27 FK Zalg… v Panevėž… 4-1
Feb 21 FK Zalg… v Džiugas… 2-3
Feb 14 FK Zalg… v Ogre Un… 2-1
Feb 08 FK Zalg… v Hegelma… 1-0
Feb 04 FK Zalg… v Rīgas FS 4-2
Feb 03 FK Zalg… v Esbjerg 0-1
Jan 31 FK Zalg… v Šiauliai 2-2
Nov 08 FK Zalg… v Panevėž… 3-1
Nov 02 FK Zalg… v Hegelma… 3-1
Oct 26 FK Zalg… v Šiauliai 1-0
Sūduva Marijam… 10.0%
Mar 01 Sūduva … v Šiauliai 0-0
Feb 22 Sūduva … v Panevėž… 0-0
Feb 14 Sūduva … v BFC Dau… 5-3
Nov 08 Sūduva … v Hegelma… 2-1
Nov 02 Sūduva … v Šiauliai 2-2
Oct 27 Sūduva … v Kauno Ž… 1-0
Oct 23 Sūduva … v Dainava 2-1
Oct 18 Sūduva … v Džiugas… 0-0
Oct 04 Sūduva … v FK Trak… 0-0
Sep 29 Sūduva … v FK Zalg… 1-3
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 29, 2025 Sūduva Marija… 1-3 FK Zalgiris V…
Aug 07, 2025 FK Zalgiris V… 1-0 Sūduva Marija…
Jun 19, 2025 Sūduva Marija… 2-2 FK Zalgiris V…
Apr 16, 2025 FK Zalgiris V… 3-0 Sūduva Marija…
Key Factors
FK Zalgiris Vilnius in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.