A Lyga · Mar 07, 2026 12:00
Panevėžys
PWR 35
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
Panevėžys
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Panevėžys Form
LDLWD
STABLE
Hegelmann Lita… Form
DLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS29%
Under 2.553%
Panevėžys Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Hegelmann L… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.538%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet26%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Panevėžysvs
0.39
Hegelmann Lita…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Panevėžys-1
Gap#8
Hegelmann L…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Panevėžys
8.0%
| Feb 27 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Panevėž… v Sūduva … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Panevėž… v Metta /… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Panevėž… v Tukums | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 4-3 |
| Nov 08 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 3-2 |
| Oct 31 | Panevėž… v BFA | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Panevėž… v Džiugas… | 1-4 |
Hegelmann Lita…
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Hegelma… v Banga | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hegelma… v BFC Dau… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Hegelma… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Oct 27 | Hegelma… v Dainava | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 4-1 |
| Oct 18 | Hegelma… v FK Trak… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Panevėžys | 0-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 3-1 | Panevėžys |
| May 10, 2025 | Panevėžys | 3-0 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 2-1 | Panevėžys |
Key Factors
Hegelmann Litauen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.