Copa por MĂ©xico · Dec 27, 2022 01:00
Toluca
PWR 35
Necaxa
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Necaxa
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Toluca Win
Prediction
1-3
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack100
Defense0
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G3.0
Toluca Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Necaxa Form
DLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
Toluca Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Necaxa Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes34%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
Tolucavs
1.23
NecaxaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Toluca-1
Gap#5
Necaxa
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Toluca
14.0%
| Dec 23 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Dec 14 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Toluca v Santos … | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Toluca v Santos … | 4-3 |
| Sep 11 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 2-2 |
| Sep 04 | Toluca v Guadala… | 0-0 |
| Aug 18 | Toluca v Monterr… | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 2-3 |
| Aug 03 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-1 |
| Jul 23 | Toluca v Santos … | 2-1 |
Necaxa
6.0%
| Dec 16 | Necaxa v Club Am… | 3-3 |
| Oct 02 | Necaxa v Atlas | 1-0 |
| Sep 11 | Necaxa v Club Am… | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Necaxa v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Sep 03 | Necaxa v LeĂłn FC | 3-2 |
| Aug 13 | Necaxa v Monterr… | 1-2 |
| Aug 07 | Necaxa v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Jul 28 | Necaxa v Pachuca | 2-0 |
| Jul 02 | Necaxa v Toluca | 1-3 |
| Jun 18 | Necaxa v Atletic… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 02, 2022 | Necaxa | 1-3 | Toluca |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Necaxa | 0-1 | Toluca |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca | 1-1 | Necaxa |
Key Factors
Necaxa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.