US Open Cup · Sep 18, 2025 00:30

Minnesota United
PWR 0
1 - 2
FT

Austin
PWR 23
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Austin to win (66% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
66%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Minnesota Unit… Form WDWWL
STABLE
Austin Form LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS55%
Under 2.544%
Minnesota U… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Austin Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 75% 25% OVER
2.5 50% 50% -
3.5 28% 72% UNDER
4.5 13% 87% UNDER
5.5 5% 95% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.528%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet41%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Minnesota Unit…
vs
1.01
Austin
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
Minnesota Unit… 14.0%
Sep 14 Minneso… v San Die… 1-3
Aug 31 Minneso… v Portlan… 1-1
Aug 24 Minneso… v Real Sa… 1-3
Aug 17 Minneso… v Seattle… 1-0
Aug 10 Minneso… v Colorad… 1-2
Jul 27 Minneso… v St. Lou… 1-2
Jul 20 Minneso… v Portlan… 1-1
Jul 17 Minneso… v Los Ang… 0-1
Jul 13 Minneso… v San Jos… 4-1
Jul 05 Minneso… v FC Dall… 1-2
Austin 16.0%
Sep 14 Austin v FC Dall… 2-0
Sep 09 Austin v Bosnia … 1-2
Sep 07 Austin v Sportin… 1-2
Sep 06 Austin v Cyprus 1-0
Aug 31 Austin v San Jos… 3-1
Aug 23 Austin v Montréa… 3-2
Aug 17 Austin v FC Dall… 1-1
Aug 10 Austin v Houston… 2-2
Jul 26 Austin v DC Unit… 2-4
Jul 17 Austin v Los Ang… 1-2
Head-to-Head (9)
May 25, 2025 Minnesota Uni… 1-1 Austin
May 04, 2025 Austin 0-3 Minnesota Uni…
Jun 23, 2024 Minnesota Uni… 0-1 Austin
Feb 25, 2024 Austin 1-2 Minnesota Uni…
Jul 09, 2023 Minnesota Uni… 1-4 Austin
Jun 01, 2023 Austin 2-1 Minnesota Uni…
Aug 21, 2022 Minnesota Uni… 2-1 Austin
Apr 10, 2022 Austin 1-0 Minnesota Uni…
Oct 17, 2021 Austin 0-1 Minnesota Uni…
Key Factors
Minnesota United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Austin in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.