Primera Division · Mar 04, 2026 23:00
Real Madriz
PWR 35
Matagalpa
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Real Madriz
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Matagalpa Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Matagalpa Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Real Madriz Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS33%
Under 2.557%
Matagalpa Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Real Madriz Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.543%
BTTS Yes38%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet6%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-0 (10%)
4-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Matagalpavs
0.49
Real MadrizDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Matagalpa+6
Gap#10
Real Madriz
WR 20% 17 pts
WR 0% 8 pts
Matagalpa
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Matagal… v Rancho … | 2-8 |
| Feb 26 | Matagal… v H&H Exp… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Matagal… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Matagal… v Walter … | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Matagal… v Managua… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Matagal… v Jalapa | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Matagal… v Diriang… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Matagal… v UNAN Ma… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Matagal… v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Matagal… v Rancho … | 0-2 |
Real Madriz
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Walter … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Real Ma… v Real Es… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Real Ma… v Rancho … | 3-3 |
| Feb 19 | Real Ma… v Diriang… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real Ma… v Jalapa | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Real Ma… v UNAN Ma… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ma… v H&H Exp… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Real Ma… v Managua… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Real Ma… v Matagal… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Real Ma… v Walter … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Real Madriz | 1-1 | Matagalpa |
| Oct 06, 2025 | Real Madriz | 1-2 | Matagalpa |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Matagalpa | 1-2 | Real Madriz |
Key Factors
Matagalpa in strong form (3W in last 5)
Real Madriz struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.