Paraense · Feb 22, 2026 20:00

Paysandu SC
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Castanhal
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Paysandu SC Form WWLDL
STABLE
Castanhal Form WLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS29%
Under 2.558%
Paysandu SC Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Castanhal Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 75% 25% OVER
1.5 40% 60% -
2.5 16% 84% UNDER
3.5 5% 95% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes19%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Paysandu SC
vs
0.41
Castanhal
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Paysandu SC
+4
Gap
#7
Castanhal
WR 50% 10 pts WR 33% 8 pts
Paysandu SC 10.0%
Feb 19 Paysand… v Tuna Lu… 5-1
Feb 15 Paysand… v Santos 0-2
Feb 11 Paysand… v Cametá 2-0
Feb 08 Paysand… v Remo 1-1
Feb 04 Paysand… v Tuna Lu… 1-0
Feb 01 Paysand… v Capitao… 1-0
Jan 25 Paysand… v São Rai… 2-0
Nov 14 Paysand… v Amazonas 2-2
Nov 09 Paysand… v Corinth… 1-2
Oct 31 Paysand… v Athleti… 2-1
Castanhal 10.0%
Feb 19 Castanh… v Capitao… 0-1
Feb 15 Castanh… v Capitao… 2-0
Feb 12 Castanh… v Remo 2-2
Feb 07 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 0-1
Feb 04 Castanh… v São Rai… 0-1
Jan 31 Castanh… v Santos 1-0
Jan 25 Castanh… v Cametá 0-0
Apr 06 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 2-1
Apr 02 Castanh… v Capitao… 3-1
Mar 30 Castanh… v Tuna Lu… 3-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 02, 2025 Paysandu SC 2-0 Castanhal
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.