Copa do Brasil · Mar 05, 2026 00:30

América Mineiro
PWR 23
VS
Pague Menos
PWR 0
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
América Mineiro Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
América Mineiro Form DDDWD
STABLE
Pague Menos Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS37%
Under 2.567%
América Min… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Pague Menos Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 86% 14% OVER
1.5 58% 42% -
2.5 31% 69% UNDER
3.5 13% 87% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes32%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet25%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
América Mineiro
vs
0.70
Pague Menos
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
América Mineiro 12.0%
Mar 01 América… v Sergipe 1-1
Mar 01 América… v Atletic… 0-0
Feb 26 América… v Sergipe 1-1
Feb 22 América… v Lagarto 0-3
Feb 22 América… v Atletic… 1-1
Feb 14 América… v Confian… 0-0
Feb 14 América… v North E… 2-1
Feb 11 América… v AO Itab… 0-3
Feb 08 América… v Cruzeiro 2-0
Feb 07 América… v Falcon 2-1
Pague Menos 6.0%
Feb 18 Pague M… v América… 1-1
Feb 09 Pague M… v Maracan… 0-2
Feb 03 Pague M… v Maguary… 3-2
Jan 29 Pague M… v Quixada 0-1
Jan 22 Pague M… v Ceará 1-4
Jan 14 Pague M… v Iguatu 0-0
Jan 11 Pague M… v Maguary… 1-0
Jan 07 Pague M… v Floresta 0-2
Dec 05 Pague M… v Maracan… 2-1
Dec 01 Pague M… v Fortale… 1-1
Key Factors
Pague Menos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.