Cup · Feb 25, 2026 17:30
FK Sarajevo
PWR 46
Velež
PWR 77
FK Sarajevo
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT
Velež
PWR 77
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Sarajevo Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
32Attack61
68Defense74
Goals/G
0.91.8
Conc/G
0.90.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Sarajevo
WWWWL
UP
Velež
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
FK Sarajevovs
0.44
VeležGoal Probability
FK Sarajevo
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Velež
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
FK Sarajevo+2
Gap#4
Velež
WR 36% 15 pts
WR 100% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| Velež | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
FK Sarajevo
16.0%
| Feb 21 | FK Sara… v Posušje | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | FK Sara… v Sloga D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | FK Sara… v Čelik | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | FK Sara… v Radnik … | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | FK Sara… v Shkëndi… | 2-3 |
| Dec 14 | FK Sara… v Zrinjski | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | FK Sara… v Željezn… | 4-0 |
| Dec 02 | FK Sara… v Velež | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | FK Sara… v Široki … | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | FK Sara… v Rudar P… | 2-1 |
Velež
14.0%
| Feb 21 | Velež v Željezn… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Velež v Široki … | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Velež v Široki … | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Velež v Borac B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Velež v Posušje | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Velež v Sloga D… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Velež v Zrinjski | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | Velež v FK Sara… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Velež v Rudar P… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Velež v Posušje | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 02, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 | Velež |
| May 18, 2025 | Velež | 2-2 | FK Sarajevo |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Velež | 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 4-0 | Velež |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Sarajevo | 3-0 | Velež |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Velež | 1-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| Aug 28, 2023 | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | Velež |
| May 21, 2023 | Velež | 3-5 | FK Sarajevo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Sarajevo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Velež in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.