Ligue 1 · Mar 07, 2026 12:00

Stade Tunisien
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Étoile du Sahel
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
Stade Tunisien Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Stade Tunisien Form DLLLW
STABLE
Étoile du Sahel Form DWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS38%
Under 2.540%
Stade Tunis… Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Étoile du S… Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 64% 36% -
1.5 27% 73% UNDER
2.5 8% 92% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Stade Tunisien
vs
0.51
Étoile du Sahel
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Stade Tunis…
+3
Gap
#6
Étoile du S…
WR 73% 41 pts WR 30% 30 pts
Stade Tunisien 6.0%
Feb 28 Stade T… v AS Marsa 0-0
Feb 27 Stade T… v EO Sidi… 0-1
Feb 21 Stade T… v Ariana 2-1
Feb 21 Stade T… v ES Tunis 1-0
Feb 15 Stade T… v Jendoub… 2-0
Feb 13 Stade T… v Olympiq… 3-2
Feb 01 Stade T… v ES Metl… 0-0
Jan 31 Stade T… v Ksour E… 2-3
Jan 28 Stade T… v AS Soli… 1-0
Jan 24 Stade T… v Redeyef 1-1
Étoile du Sahel 14.0%
Feb 28 Étoile … v AS Soli… 0-0
Feb 13 Étoile … v JS Kair… 1-2
Feb 07 Étoile … v US Mona… 1-0
Feb 01 Étoile … v AS Gabes 0-0
Jan 28 Étoile … v US Ben … 0-0
Jan 22 Étoile … v Club Af… 3-0
Jan 17 Étoile … v Jeuness… 1-0
Nov 23 Étoile … v CS Sfax… 0-1
Nov 08 Étoile … v Club At… 1-1
Nov 05 Étoile … v ES Zarz… 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 01, 2025 Étoile du Sah… 1-1 Stade Tunisien
Key Factors
Stade Tunisien struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.