J2 League · Mar 07, 2026 05:00
Renofa Yamaguchi FC
PWR 35
Sagan Tosu
PWR 35
Renofa Yamaguchi FC
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Sagan Tosu
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Renofa Yamaguchi FC Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Renofa Yamaguc… Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Sagan Tosu Form
LLDDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS50%
Under 2.537%
Renofa Yama… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Sagan Tosu Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.512%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet28%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (16%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Renofa Yamaguc…vs
0.75
Sagan TosuDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Renofa Yama…+3
Gap#9
Sagan Tosu
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Renofa Yamaguc…
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Renofa … v Gainare… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Renofa … v Kagoshi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Renofa … v Biwako … | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Renofa … v Roasso … | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Renofa … v Omiya A… | 3-2 |
| Nov 23 | Renofa … v Iwaki | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Renofa … v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Renofa … v Roasso … | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Renofa … v Katalle… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Renofa … v Imabari | 1-1 |
Sagan Tosu
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Sagan T… v Kagoshi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Sagan T… v Tegevaj… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sagan T… v Roasso … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sagan T… v FC Ryuk… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Sagan T… v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Sagan T… v Fujieda… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Sagan T… v Katalle… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sagan T… v Tokushi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Sagan T… v Vegalta… | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Sagan T… v Blaubli… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Renofa Yamagu… | 1-2 | Sagan Tosu |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Sagan Tosu | 2-2 | Renofa Yamagu… |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Sagan Tosu | 0-2 | Renofa Yamagu… |
Key Factors
Sagan Tosu struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.