Sergipano · Mar 01, 2026 20:00
Sergipe
PWR 35
América Mineiro
PWR 46
Sergipe
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
América Mineiro
PWR 46
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Sergipe Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Sergipe Form
DLWWW
STABLE
América Mineiro Form
DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS22%
Under 2.581%
Sergipe Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
América Min… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes25%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (24%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sergipevs
0.42
América MineiroDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market58%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sergipe+4
Gap#6
América Min…
WR 51% 73 pts
WR 40% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergipe | 41 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 33 | 73 |
| América Mineiro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 20 |
Sergipe
14.0%
| Feb 26 | Sergipe v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sergipe v Lagarto | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sergipe v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sergipe v Dorense | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Sergipe v Desport… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sergipe v Confian… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sergipe v Falcon | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Sergipe v AO Itab… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sergipe v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Sergipe v América… | 2-2 |
América Mineiro
14.0%
| Feb 26 | América… v Sergipe | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Lagarto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | América… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | América… v North E… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | América… v AO Itab… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | América… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | América… v Falcon | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | América… v Lagarto | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | América… v Uniao T… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 26, 2026 | América Minei… | 1-1 | Sergipe |
| Jan 11, 2026 | América Minei… | 2-2 | Sergipe |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Sergipe | 0-1 | América Minei… |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Sergipe | 1-1 | América Minei… |
| Jan 30, 2023 | Sergipe | 2-0 | América Minei… |
Key Factors
Sergipe in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.