Sergipano · Feb 28, 2026 19:00
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
Confiança
PWR 35
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Confiança
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
AO Itabaiana Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (15%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AO Itabaiana Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Confiança Form
LWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS35%
Under 2.563%
AO Itabaiana Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Confiança Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes25%
Home Clean Sheet53%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (19%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
AO Itabaianavs
0.56
ConfiançaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AO Itabaiana+2
Gap#4
Confiança
WR 60% 17 pts
WR 50% 15 pts
AO Itabaiana
14.0%
| Feb 25 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AO Itab… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | AO Itab… v América… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | AO Itab… v Dorense | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | AO Itab… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 0-2 |
Confiança
12.0%
| Feb 25 | Confian… v AO Itab… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Confian… v Atlétic… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Confian… v GuaranĂ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Confian… v Pombal … | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Confian… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Confian… v Dorense | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Confian… v EC de P… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Confian… v AO Itab… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Confian… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Confian… v Serra B… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 25, 2026 | Confiança | 1-2 | AO Itabaiana |
| Feb 08, 2026 | Confiança | 1-0 | AO Itabaiana |
| Jul 12, 2025 | AO Itabaiana | 0-0 | Confiança |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Confiança | 1-1 | AO Itabaiana |
| Mar 22, 2025 | AO Itabaiana | 1-2 | Confiança |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Confiança | 0-0 | AO Itabaiana |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Confiança | 1-0 | AO Itabaiana |
| Apr 03, 2024 | AO Itabaiana | 2-2 | Confiança |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Confiança | 0-1 | AO Itabaiana |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Confiança | 0-2 | AO Itabaiana |
Key Factors
AO Itabaiana in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.