Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 13:30
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 35
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lokomotiv Mosc…
WWWWD
UP
Akhmat Grozny
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Lokomotiv Mosc…vs
0.44
Akhmat GroznyGoal Probability
Lokomotiv M…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Akhmat Groz…
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Lokomotiv M…+4
Gap#7
Akhmat Groz…
WR 67% 40 pts
WR 11% 25 pts
Lokomotiv Mosc…
18.0%
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Arsenal… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lokomot… v Nizhny … | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lokomot… v Yelimay… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Lokomot… v Ural | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Lokomot… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Lokomot… v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
| Nov 30 | Lokomot… v FC Rost… | 1-3 |
| Nov 26 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Lokomot… v Krasnod… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Lokomot… v Orenburg | 1-0 |
Akhmat Grozny
18.0%
| Mar 01 | Akhmat … v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Akhmat … v Bars | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Akhmat … v Vardar … | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Akhmat … v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Akhmat … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Akhmat … v Spartak… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Akhmat … v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 2-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
73%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
Akhmat Grozny in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.