Premier League · Mar 07, 2026 16:00
Nizhny Novgorod
PWR 35
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
Nizhny Novgorod
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Nizhny Novgorod to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nizhny Novgorod
LDWWL
STABLE
PFC Sochi
LWWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Nizhny Novgorodvs
0.66
PFC SochiGoal Probability
Nizhny Novg…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
PFC Sochi
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Nizhny Novg…+1
Gap#16
PFC Sochi
WR 22% 14 pts
WR 11% 9 pts
Nizhny Novgorod
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Nizhny … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nizhny … v Enisey | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Nizhny … v Makhach… | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Nizhny … v Akron | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Nizhny … v Zenit S… | 0-2 |
| Nov 08 | Nizhny … v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Nizhny … v Spartak… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Nizhny … v Baltika | 0-0 |
| Oct 22 | Nizhny … v FC Rost… | 4-1 |
| Oct 18 | Nizhny … v Akron | 0-1 |
PFC Sochi
12.0%
| Mar 02 | PFC Soc… v Spartak… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Aktobe | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Bars | 3-2 |
| Feb 05 | PFC Soc… v Fakel V… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | PFC Soc… v Struga | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | PFC Soc… v Lokomot… | 2-4 |
| Dec 01 | PFC Soc… v Makhach… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | PFC Soc… v Akron | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | PFC Soc… v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | PFC Soc… v Orenburg | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 05, 2025 | PFC Sochi | 2-1 | Nizhny Novgor… |
| May 31, 2025 | Nizhny Novgor… | 1-3 | PFC Sochi |
| May 28, 2025 | PFC Sochi | 1-2 | Nizhny Novgor… |
| May 12, 2024 | PFC Sochi | 6-1 | Nizhny Novgor… |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Nizhny Novgor… | 1-0 | PFC Sochi |
| May 22, 2023 | Nizhny Novgor… | 4-0 | PFC Sochi |
| Aug 07, 2022 | PFC Sochi | 2-1 | Nizhny Novgor… |
| Jul 01, 2022 | Nizhny Novgor… | 1-1 | PFC Sochi |
| May 13, 2022 | PFC Sochi | 0-0 | Nizhny Novgor… |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Nizhny Novgor… | 1-0 | PFC Sochi |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.