Premier League · Mar 01, 2026 16:00
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Moscow Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-2 (4%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.78x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.51x
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Akhmat Grozny
DWWWW
STABLE
Spartak Moscow
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63
Akhmat Groznyvs
1.28
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
Akhmat Groz…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Spartak Mos…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Akhmat Groz…-1
Gap#6
Spartak Mos…
WR 60% 25 pts
WR 33% 32 pts
Akhmat Grozny
18.0%
| Feb 18 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Akhmat … v Bars | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Akhmat … v Vardar … | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Akhmat … v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Akhmat … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Akhmat … v Spartak… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Akhmat … v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
| Oct 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 3-3 |
Spartak Moscow
18.0%
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Spartak… v Baltika | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Spartak… v Orenburg | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Akhmat Grozny | 1-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
| May 04, 2025 | Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Akhmat Grozny | 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 3-0 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Akhmat Grozny | 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 0-0 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 1-2 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Akhmat Grozny | 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
35%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Akhmat Grozny in strong form (4W in last 5)
Spartak Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.