Premier League · Mar 02, 2026 12:00
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
PFC Sochi
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Spartak Moscow
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Moscow Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
CORRECT 2-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.74x
DC X2
84%
Away/Draw
1.24x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
PFC Sochi
WWDDL
STABLE
Spartak Moscow
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
PFC Sochivs
0.51
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
PFC Sochi
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Spartak Mos…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 6.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
PFC Sochi-10
Gap#6
Spartak Mos…
WR 10% 9 pts
WR 33% 32 pts
PFC Sochi
12.0%
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Aktobe | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | PFC Soc… v Bars | 3-2 |
| Feb 05 | PFC Soc… v Fakel V… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | PFC Soc… v Struga | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | PFC Soc… v Lokomot… | 2-4 |
| Dec 01 | PFC Soc… v Makhach… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | PFC Soc… v Akron | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | PFC Soc… v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | PFC Soc… v Orenburg | 3-1 |
| Oct 27 | PFC Soc… v Akhmat … | 2-4 |
Spartak Moscow
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Spartak… v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Spartak… v Baltika | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Spartak… v Orenburg | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 22, 2025 | PFC Sochi | 1-3 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | PFC Sochi |
| Apr 13, 2024 | PFC Sochi | 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | PFC Sochi |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 | PFC Sochi |
| Nov 05, 2022 | PFC Sochi | 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Spartak Moscow | 3-0 | PFC Sochi |
| Dec 13, 2021 | PFC Sochi | 3-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 26, 2021 | Spartak Moscow | 1-2 | PFC Sochi |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Spartak Moscow | 4-0 | PFC Sochi |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.