First League · Mar 07, 2026 11:00

Chelyabinsk
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Spartak Kostroma
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Chelyabinsk Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Chelyabinsk Form WWLLL
STABLE
Spartak Kostro… Form DLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS63%
Under 2.535%
Chelyabinsk Goals
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Spartak Kos… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 60% 40% -
2.5 33% 67% UNDER
3.5 15% 85% UNDER
4.5 6% 95% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.515%
BTTS Yes40%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Chelyabinsk
vs
1.18
Spartak Kostro…
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Chelyabinsk
-1
Gap
#4
Spartak Kos…
WR 60% 35 pts WR 55% 35 pts
Chelyabinsk 8.0%
Feb 28 Chelyab… v FK Soko… 0-1
Feb 20 Chelyab… v Zenit 2 2-1
Feb 05 Chelyab… v Baltika 0-2
Feb 01 Chelyab… v Sogdiana 0-1
Nov 30 Chelyab… v Fakel V… 2-0
Nov 24 Chelyab… v Rotor V… 0-2
Nov 16 Chelyab… v KAMAZ 3-3
Nov 10 Chelyab… v FC UFA 2-1
Nov 05 Chelyab… v Ural 1-0
Nov 01 Chelyab… v Shinnik… 1-0
Spartak Kostro… 4.0%
Feb 28 Spartak… v Rotor V… 1-1
Nov 30 Spartak… v Torpedo… 0-1
Nov 22 Spartak… v Ural 1-1
Nov 17 Spartak… v Rodina … 0-2
Nov 10 Spartak… v Fakel V… 3-2
Nov 02 Spartak… v Chernom… 3-1
Oct 25 Spartak… v Shinnik… 2-2
Oct 19 Spartak… v Enisey 1-0
Oct 11 Spartak… v KAMAZ 1-1
Oct 04 Spartak… v FC UFA 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 17, 2025 Spartak Kostr… 2-1 Chelyabinsk
Key Factors
Chelyabinsk struggling (3L in last 5)
Spartak Kostroma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.