First League · Mar 02, 2026 16:30

Rodina Moskva
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Rodina Moskva Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 87% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Rodina Moskva Form LWDDD
STABLE
Shinnik Yarosl… Form WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS11%
Under 2.588%
Rodina Mosk… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Shinnik Yar… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 79% 21% OVER
1.5 46% 54% -
2.5 20% 80% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.57%
BTTS Yes26%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (21%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Rodina Moskva
vs
0.20
Shinnik Yarosl…
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings76%
Market59%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Rodina Mosk…
+8
Gap
#11
Shinnik Yar…
WR 50% 39 pts WR 9% 26 pts
Rodina Moskva 10.0%
Feb 08 Rodina … v Enisey 3-1
Feb 01 Rodina … v FC Porto 0-1
Jan 26 Rodina … v Shangha… 1-1
Dec 01 Rodina … v KAMAZ 0-0
Nov 23 Rodina … v Enisey 0-0
Nov 17 Rodina … v Spartak… 0-2
Nov 08 Rodina … v FK Neft… 1-1
Nov 02 Rodina … v Volga U… 1-2
Oct 26 Rodina … v Rotor V… 0-0
Oct 19 Rodina … v KAMAZ 1-2
Shinnik Yarosl… 10.0%
Jan 25 Shinnik… v Ulytau 1-0
Nov 28 Shinnik… v Chernom… 2-1
Nov 23 Shinnik… v FK Soko… 0-0
Nov 16 Shinnik… v Chayka 4-1
Nov 09 Shinnik… v Rotor V… 3-0
Nov 01 Shinnik… v Chelyab… 1-0
Oct 25 Shinnik… v Spartak… 2-2
Oct 20 Shinnik… v Torpedo… 0-0
Oct 15 Shinnik… v FK Neft… 1-1
Oct 11 Shinnik… v Fakel V… 0-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Aug 23, 2025 Shinnik Yaros… 1-1 Rodina Moskva
May 24, 2025 Rodina Moskva 6-2 Shinnik Yaros…
Aug 17, 2024 Shinnik Yaros… 0-0 Rodina Moskva
Mar 09, 2024 Shinnik Yaros… 0-2 Rodina Moskva
Sep 23, 2023 Rodina Moskva 1-4 Shinnik Yaros…
Mar 05, 2023 Rodina Moskva 2-1 Shinnik Yaros…
Aug 13, 2022 Shinnik Yaros… 1-1 Rodina Moskva
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.