Premier League · Mar 07, 2026 14:00
Alashkert
PWR 35
Ararat-Armenia
PWR 35
Alashkert
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ararat-Armenia
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alashkert
DWLDW
STABLE
Ararat-Armenia
LWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Alashkertvs
0.39
Ararat-ArmeniaGoal Probability
Alashkert
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Ararat-Arme…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Alashkert-3
Gap#1
Ararat-Arme…
WR 63% 29 pts
WR 63% 34 pts
Alashkert
12.0%
| Feb 05 | Alashke… v Kaisar | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Alashke… v Vardar … | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Alashke… v Banants… | 0-2 |
| Nov 22 | Alashke… v Artsakh | 2-2 |
| Nov 08 | Alashke… v BKMA | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Alashke… v Gandzas… | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Alashke… v Van | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | Alashke… v Shirak | 1-2 |
| Oct 03 | Alashke… v Shirak | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | Alashke… v Van | 1-2 |
Ararat-Armenia
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Ararat-… v Shirak | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Ararat-… v Shirak | 4-1 |
| Nov 25 | Ararat-… v Pyunik … | 1-0 |
| Nov 21 | Ararat-… v Ararat | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Ararat-… v Banants… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Ararat-… v Artsakh | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Ararat-… v BKMA | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Ararat-… v Gandzas… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Ararat-… v Gandzas… | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Ararat-… v BKMA | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 25, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia | 2-1 | Alashkert |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia | 0-1 | Alashkert |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia | 3-0 | Alashkert |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Alashkert | 2-2 | Ararat-Armenia |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ararat-Armenia | 3-1 | Alashkert |
| May 26, 2024 | Alashkert | 1-3 | Ararat-Armenia |
| Apr 04, 2024 | Ararat-Armenia | 2-1 | Alashkert |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Alashkert | 1-1 | Ararat-Armenia |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Ararat-Armenia | 3-1 | Alashkert |
| May 10, 2023 | Ararat-Armenia | 0-1 | Alashkert |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.