Predictions Match Details
Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 07, 2026 23:30

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
5-0
predicted

Danubio
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
5-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form WWLWD
STABLE
Danubio Form DLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS19%
Under 2.579%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Danubio Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 74% 26% OVER
1.5 39% 61% -
2.5 16% 85% UNDER
3.5 5% 95% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (26%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.31
Danubio
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Peñarol Mon…
+6
Gap
#9
Danubio
WR 100% 9 pts WR 50% 7 pts
Peñarol Montev… 14.0%
Mar 01 Peñarol… v Club Na… 0-1
Feb 22 Peñarol… v Deporti… 2-1
Feb 15 Peñarol… v Central… 2-1
Feb 07 Peñarol… v Atletic… 3-1
Feb 01 Peñarol… v Club Na… 0-0
Jan 23 Peñarol… v Boston … 2-2
Jan 22 Peñarol… v Colo-Co… 1-1
Jan 20 Peñarol… v Racing … 1-0
Jan 18 Peñarol… v River P… 0-0
Jan 18 Peñarol… v River P… 0-0
Danubio 10.0%
Feb 28 Danubio v Progreso 2-2
Feb 21 Danubio v Racing … 4-0
Feb 15 Danubio v Boston … 2-0
Feb 09 Danubio v Cerro 0-1
Jan 12 Danubio v Boston … 1-0
Nov 08 Danubio v Plaza C… 2-0
Nov 02 Danubio v Racing … 1-2
Oct 26 Danubio v River P… 0-1
Oct 17 Danubio v Boston … 0-0
Oct 12 Danubio v Club Na… 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 05, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Danubio
Aug 03, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 0-0 Danubio
Jul 28, 2024 Danubio 2-0 Peñarol Monte…
Nov 19, 2023 Danubio 2-1 Peñarol Monte…
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.