Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 08, 2026 23:00
Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
Central Espanol
PWR 35
Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
Central Espanol
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Defensor Sporting Win
Prediction
1-3
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (45%)
0-1 (22%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Defensor Sport… Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Central Espanol Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.55%
BTTS10%
Under 2.595%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Central Esp… Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes14%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (38%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Defensor Sport…vs
0.50
Central EspanolDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Defensor Sp…-6
Gap#2
Central Esp…
WR 100% 7 pts
WR 100% 9 pts
Defensor Sport…
10.0%
| Mar 03 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Defenso… v Liverpo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Defenso… v Unión S… | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Defenso… v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Defenso… v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Oct 24 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
Central Espanol
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Central… v Wandere… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Central… v Juventud | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Central… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Central… v Progreso | 0-3 |
| Jan 20 | Central… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Central… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Central… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Central… v Fenix | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Central… v Rampla … | 0-1 |
| Oct 06 | Central… v Atenas | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 02, 2025 | Defensor Spor… | 2-0 | Central Espan… |
Key Factors
Central Espanol in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.