Predictions Match Details
Cearense - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 21:00

Ceará
PWR 35
2-0
predicted

Fortaleza
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
Ceará Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ceará Form DWWWD
STABLE
Fortaleza Form DLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS16%
Under 2.562%
Ceará Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fortaleza Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 24% OVER
2.5 53% 47% -
3.5 30% 70% UNDER
4.5 15% 85% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.530%
BTTS Yes34%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 4-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Ceará
vs
0.20
Fortaleza
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Ceará
0
Gap
#1
Fortaleza
WR 50% 7 pts WR 0% 5 pts
Ceará 16.0%
Mar 01 Ceará v Fortale… 1-1
Feb 26 Ceará v Primave… 2-1
Feb 22 Ceará v Floresta 4-0
Feb 15 Ceará v Floresta 0-3
Feb 08 Ceará v Fortale… 0-0
Feb 01 Ceará v Horizon… 4-0
Jan 25 Ceará v Ferrovi… 1-5
Jan 22 Ceará v Pague M… 1-4
Jan 17 Ceará v Iguatu 1-1
Jan 15 Ceará v Maguary… 1-0
Fortaleza 12.0%
Mar 01 Fortale… v Ceará 1-1
Mar 01 Fortale… v Vitoria 4-1
Feb 25 Fortale… v Maguary… 4-3
Feb 23 Fortale… v Vitoria 1-1
Feb 21 Fortale… v Ferrovi… 2-0
Feb 14 Fortale… v Ferrovi… 0-2
Feb 12 Fortale… v Desport… 0-1
Feb 08 Fortale… v Ceará 0-0
Feb 07 Fortale… v Rio Bra… 0-0
Feb 05 Fortale… v Vitoria 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 01, 2026 Fortaleza 1-1 Ceará
Feb 08, 2026 Ceará 0-0 Fortaleza
Nov 06, 2025 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Jul 13, 2025 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Mar 22, 2025 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Mar 15, 2025 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Feb 08, 2025 Fortaleza 1-2 Ceará
Apr 06, 2024 Ceará 1-1 Fortaleza
Mar 30, 2024 Fortaleza 0-0 Ceará
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0-1 Ceará
Key Factors
Ceará in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.