Cearense - 1 · Feb 26, 2026 22:00
Ferroviária
PWR 35
Floresta
PWR 35
Ferroviária
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Floresta
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ferroviária to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense44
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.6
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ferroviária Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Floresta Form
LLWDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS45%
Under 2.561%
Ferroviária Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Floresta Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.5
Over 3.56%
BTTS Yes25%
Home Clean Sheet59%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (24%)
1-0 (21%)
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Ferroviáriavs
1.02
FlorestaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Ferroviária-2
Gap#4
Floresta
WR 17% 15 pts
WR 33% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 15 |
| Floresta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
Ferroviária
6.0%
| Feb 25 | Ferrovi… v Votupor… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Ferrovi… v Monte A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Ferrovi… v São Jos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Ferrovi… v Sertãoz… | 3-2 |
| Feb 11 | Ferrovi… v Água Sa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ferrovi… v XV de P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ferrovi… v Iguatu | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Ferrovi… v Floresta | 0-0 |
Floresta
6.0%
| Feb 22 | Floresta v Ceará | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Floresta v Ceará | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Floresta v Horizon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Floresta v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Floresta v Fortale… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Floresta v Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Floresta v Maguary… | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | Floresta v Ceará | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | Floresta v Pague M… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Floresta v Caxias | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 02, 2026 | Floresta | 0-0 | Ferroviária |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Floresta | 3-3 | Ferroviária |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Floresta | 0-2 | Ferroviária |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Ferroviária | 0-2 | Floresta |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Floresta | 2-2 | Ferroviária |
| May 28, 2024 | Floresta | 1-2 | Ferroviária |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Ferroviária | 1-3 | Floresta |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Ferroviária | 0-2 | Floresta |
| Nov 03, 2021 | Ferroviária | 1-1 | Floresta |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Floresta | 0-0 | Ferroviária |
Key Factors
Ferroviária struggling (3L in last 5)
Floresta struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.