Arab Club Champions Cup · Aug 09, 2023 18:00
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 23
Al Shabab
PWR 35
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 23
3 - 1
FT
Al Shabab
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Al Shabab Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS67%
Under 2.530%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Al Shabab Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.6
Over 3.568%
BTTS Yes64%
Home Clean Sheet34%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
4-0 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Al-Ahli Saudivs
1.28
Al ShababDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…-1
Gap#2
Al Shabab
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Jul 30 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Sadd… | 2-3 |
| May 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Hazem | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 1-0 |
| May 19 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Masr… | 2-0 |
| Apr 07 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 3-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 0-2 |
Al Shabab
10.0%
| Jul 28 | Al Shab… v Al-Masr… | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Al Shab… v Damac | 1-4 |
| May 27 | Al Shab… v Al Taaw… | 0-3 |
| May 27 | Al Shab… v Al-Fais… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Al Shab… v Al-Masr… | 3-2 |
| May 03 | Al Shab… v Al-Fate… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Al Shab… v Al-Itti… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Al Shab… v Al Khal… | 2-3 |
| Apr 07 | Al Shab… v Al-Ahli… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Al Shab… v Najran | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Apr 07, 2023 | Al Shabab | 3-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-1 | Al Shabab |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Al Shabab | 0-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-1 | Al Shabab |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Al Shabab | 2-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 5-0 | Al Shabab |
| Jan 01, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 3-4 | Al Shabab |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Al Shabab | 3-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.