Paraibano · Feb 28, 2026 20:00
Sousa
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 50
Sousa
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Fluminense
PWR 50
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Sousa Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (22%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Sousa Form
WDDWL
STABLE
Fluminense Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS16%
Under 2.563%
Sousa Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Fluminense Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.8
Over 3.511%
BTTS Yes25%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (17%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sousavs
0.20
FluminenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market46%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Sousa+2
Gap#3
Fluminense
WR 50% 66 pts
WR 43% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sousa | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 45 | 24 | 66 |
| Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
Sousa
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Sousa v Pombal … | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Sousa v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sousa v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sousa v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sousa v EC de P… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sousa v Treze | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sousa v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Sousa v Serra B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sousa v Confian… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Sousa v Potigua… | 1-0 |
Fluminense
4.0%
| Feb 26 | Flumine… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v São Ber… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Grêmio … | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Athleti… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v EC de P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Flumine… v Parnahy… | 4-0 |
| Feb 18 | Flumine… v XV de P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 18 | Flumine… v Sousa | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Flumine… v Bangu | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 18, 2026 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Sousa |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sousa | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sousa | 3-0 | Fluminense |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Sousa | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Sousa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Sousa | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Sousa |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Sousa | 0-0 | Fluminense |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Sousa |
| May 01, 2021 | Sousa | 0-0 | Fluminense |
Key Factors
Fluminense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.